Quack quack quack

Sitting in my office I crane my neck round every few minutes to stare at the 3 darts lodged in the treble twenty. I placed them there not (as more cynical observers might postulate) with my nose a few inches from the bully but from the official distance of 7ft 9¼in (that’s 2.369m metric lovers). This may give you the impression that I’m good at darts but the fact that I felt the need to leave them there to admire since their last flight last night should reassure you that this happens infrequently enough to be worthy of extended observation.

I know almost without doubt that when I take them out to throw again I’ll score somewhere in the region of 17. This, I think, is a microcosm of my life. Pleasing peaks followed by laughable troughs. I’m not too good at ‘steady eddie’ which is a shame. In kinder moments I try to convince myself that this is exactly the pattern of genius – I’ve written about this a while back – but I suspect all it means is that I have the atttention span of a 7 year old and an inability to stick at stuff. Maybe I’ll throw the darts at the end when I’ve finished writing whatever this turns into.

I was throwing darts as I’d bored myself (never mind everyone else) commenting on Lia Leendertz’s fabulous new blog. She’s written a particularly interesting post about lawns and their ability to sequester carbon. I get awfully wound up by the idea of carbon sequestering and offsetting, especially if I’m a little hungry. It means I’m slightly more inclined to be boring. And at length.

I have a backlog of quacking-on caused by holding my tongue when I feel the urge to squawk every time anything close to this little hobby horse gets mentioned. It’s hard not to sound like a pious arse when you’re talking about such things so I resisted quacking on too much on Lia’s blog – I have my own blogspace here to be boring rather than sully Lia’s. I’d like to stop myself now – as the runner up in the Garden Media Awards Best Blog Award 2010 frequently reminds us ‘it’s only gardening’ and of course he’s right. There are so many more important things to get yourself in a palaver about. And usually I do stop myself but not today.

I’d go and have a short walk rather than read this if I was you – I just need to get it out somewhere, and here’s that somewhere.

Carbon sequestration and offsetting is at once boring and very interesting. It’s also a matter of maths. The idea with offsetting is that you can fly to India and not have to worry about the dreadfully high amount of carbon that results because you pay (for example) for a few trees to be planted in some far flung corner of Lincolnshire. The trees take carbon from the atmosphere and hold it within as they grow and/or convert it into non-polluting substances.

Offsetting worries me for three reasons. It doesn’t encourage any change of behaviour (eg flying less). It means that those who can afford to offset can carry on polluting more easily and regularly than those less well off. But most importantly the maths doesn’t work. You generate xx carbon flying to India, so you need to plant yy trees to balance this out. But for this to work we need to know both sides of the equation.

It’s straightforward enough to obtain a decent approximation of the carbon your share of the flight to India generates. Actually this isn’t quite so straightforward – do you include a contribution to the buildings, the infrastructure, including the road network, the vast amount of concrete that makes something like an airport possible? Let’s leave that one for now. The other side of the equation is mildly more interesting. The amount of carbon you’ve generated in your trip to India is then converted to a number of trees which are planted in your name to sequester (or more accurately ‘offset’) the equivalent carbon your trip generated. This sounds perfectly plausible until some dullard (like me) asks a few simple questions.

How long will the trees be there sequestering carbon?
What happens to the tree when it dies or is cut down?
What species is it?
More importantly, what would’ve been on the land where you’ve planted trees over the course of their lifespan? Grassland perhaps, which itself sequesters carbon. The problem, I hope I’m conveying, is that no-one is calculating the net benefit, ie how much carbon would be sequestered by that woodland over and above what would have been sequestered on that land anyway. And no-one calculates that because they can’t see into the future (let’s say the next 20 years) and predict what might happen on that land. Someone might have planted trees there in a few years simply because grants made it worthwhile, so the net carbon sequestered? None.

It’s hard not to see offsetting is a patsy, making the concerned feel better about polluting. I don’t mean to knock concerned people. Acting positively when you haven’t all got time or inclination to find out or think about all the ins-and-outs is hardly to be ridiculed. But it makes me quietly furious that people make a living exploiting it.

Similarly, we get thrown ‘food miles’ as the digestible shorthand for doing something about the carbon footprint of our food. Food accounts for around 30% of the average persons carbon footprint. That’s quite a startling figure if you ask me. Food miles accounts for around 10% of that (ie 3% of your average carbon footprint) yet it’s the single concept relating to food and climate change that people attach to. The concept is simple and understandable: the further we drive food from where it’s grown to where it’s sold, the more carbon we produce. The imagery is perfect: cars produce carbon, carbon produces climate change, simple. Simpler than telling people the whole story – that it’s how it’s grown that accounts for a very much larger proportion of carbon.

Growing food is the simplest of beautiful things. Green plants turn sunlight into food with the addition of just a few bits and bobs from the soil. With a tiny amount of sensible soil management, this idle process would keep us going indefinitely. Not fast enough for us though. We have hurried the endless ‘current’ sunlight energy along with ‘old’ energy in the form of fossil fuels.

Nitrogen is vital for healthy plant growth and you’ll find it in most virgin soils. Most non-organic farms grow food (including grass) using man-made nitrogen fertilisers. I think I’ve mentioned before that my favourite/least favourite recipe is for 1 tonne of nitrogen fertiliser. You will need:

– 1 tonne of oil
– 108 tonnes of water

and as well as your tonne of nitrogen fertiliser you will produce 7 tonnes of CO2 equivalent GHGs int he process. And as it breaks down nitrogen fertiliser releases nitrous oxide, a greenhouse gas 310 times more powerful than carbon dioxide.

Only around 5% of the UK farmland is registered organic, meaning that 95% of our food relies on this recipe, ie it is dependent on a resource we know to be running out: our food supply = our oil supply.

Phosphate is another key limiting factor to crop growth, vital to all life. We import 206,000 tonnes of it a year, almost all coming from 4 North African countries. Phosphate is a finite mine-able resource and most estimates suggest that at current levels of use we have perhaps 30 years of supplies left. Keeping use at current levels is unlikely as the emerging nations, predominantly China and India, are using it at ever-increasing rates, causing prices to increase by 700% in second half of last year alone.

There is a natural alternative to man-made nitrogen and phosphate – using green manures, appropriate rotations and animal manures: the sort of practices carried out by most organic farmers. Which is why eating organic food rather than non-organic reduces your carbon footprint by around 12% – four times more than if you wipe out just the food miles. But stick the two together….local organic food and the gains stack up and compound.

Water illustrates this well I think. Climate change is changing how we receive our water supplies. The south and east of England have many of the best soils for agriculture. It is predicted that as a result of climate change by 2080 this region is likely to have half its current rainfall and that it will get it in sharper events – think of it like a weekly bath rather than a daily shower. This poses huge problems both for retaining the water for using between rains events and mitigating the impacts of such volumes of water falling. Globally the picture is even more scary.

70% of world’s potable water goes to agriculture. Wow. We think of it as a free, self refilling resource so we waste it. Or at the very least afford it little respect. Every tonne of grain produced in the US uses around 1000 tonnes of potable water to grow to harvest. Climate change makes this way of growing hugely vulnerable. Most of the grain goes to feeding animals, which we then eat. A Dutch university has calculated that the typical beefburger ‘contains’ 2400 litres of embedded water when you take account of the grain grown to feed the cow, the water and care, and the processing involved in making the burger.

This concept of embedded water or virtual water is something we’ll be hearing more and more about as climate change becomes increasingly apparent in our lives. Embedded or virtual water reflects the amount of water used to deliver the product to us. And it’s not just about meat. We import 12% of our fruit and veg from Africa, a continent not famous for over-production of food. It’s a hot continent and water is a scarce resource. Every year we import 189million m3 of virtual water in green beans alone. So everytime we buy Kenyan green beans we are importing water and in effect exporting drought. Small, repeated actions – it’s where almost all the damage is done. It’s what makes the supermarkets dominate our food supply – all of us toddling off to spend our £50s every few days.

Perversely, this makes me quietly optimistic, and I’ll get on to why in a mo.

Back to Lia’s post. Lawns sequestering carbon. Soil is comprised of anything up to 58% carbon which can be released due to over-tillage and not putting it back naturally through green manures and/or animal manures. Rising temperatures speed this up. Two years ago mismanagement of the UKs soils reached such a level that our soils began releasing more carbon than they were locking up. Put simply, our soils are contributing to climate change. They are releasing 13m tonnes of carbon-dioxide equivalent greenhouse gases a year, almost matching the 14m tonnes emittted from rest of agriculture. Globally the picture is no different – according to the UN 2 billion hectares of land have been affected by human-induced soil degradation. It also predicts that half the world’s arable land will be ‘unusable’ by 2050.

The scale of the problem is huge and lawns seem insignificant but I don’t think they are. It’s not what they are so much as what they mean. If me, my neighbours and everybody else in the village perceives that green square as a place where at least for a few square yards some good is being quietly achieved, some contribution to addressing the march of climate change, then where’s the harm?

Which is where my comment on Lia’s blog comes in.

There is no harm in planting trees or recognising your lawn as a carbon repository but I’m greedy and I felt like shouting as much as I could in the hope that people wouldn’t just enjoy their lawn in its sequestering loveliness but go beyond the first step and make the most of it. Yes, it grows therefore it sequesters. This is good in itself, but if you feed it, water it and hit the moss and weeds with chemicals you’re lawn account is still hugely in the carbon negative – still causing climate change. Avoid all those and your lawn becomes a small contribution to dealing with climate change.

It’s the same with growing even a small amount of your own food. It’s a small contribution but an ongoing one. Like wandering to the supermarket to spend your money every week, it’s a powerful cumulative step, but in the opposite direction. More importantly it’s a small change of mindset we won’t get anywhere without one of those.

All of this is remarkably dull when someone’s telling you about it or, more particularly, when someone’s telling you not to do what you’re doing. I’m not meaning to tell anyone not to do anything, other than to play more darts. I just like the maths to be more than just the answer. I like to see the workings. Then you can choose what you like.

I didn’t eat meat for 15 or more years and started again around 6 years ago. I’d stopped eating meat in an attempt to do some ‘good’ and I didn’t feel I was anymore. My wrestling match with my conscience was the subject of the first rather clumsy piece I had published. Somehow this relates to this post but I’m hungry and boring myself good n proper now and I should be writing the book and a piece for the English Garden about growing vines in England or polishing shoes or something.

Apologies. Enough dullness. I promise to get back to apricots, killing plants and half naked americans later today.

Nearly forgot. 66, quite respectable really. 5, treble 20, 1

  • Am now feeling well educated and yet slightly depressed – in fact exactly how I feel after listening to Melvyn Bragg.

    Bet he doesn't play darts though.

  • Bloody hell.
    Education.
    That is not what I expect on a Thursday Morning.
    Especially from Otter Farm (unplaced outsider in 2008 & 2009 Blog of the Year Awards)
    I did have to pop outside half way through to incinerate some tyres as I was worried that my carbon footprint was embarrassingly small.

    On the darts front you say that the darts are all in the treble 20 but you do not say how many goes you had in order to get them there. For all we know you could have been standing 7' 9" away for six days until eventually all three end up snuggled up next door to each other. Not that I am suggesting that you would ever do such a thing but some people are not as trusting as I.

    Seriously, all you say makes rather sensible sense. There are people out there cashing in on this sort of thing and raking in grants from electorally sensitive politicians. Hence the extraordinary number of wind farm planning applications in places that are not known for their persistent breeziness.

    When are we marching on Parliament? Pity we can't burn it but that would not be a good move as regards carbon sequestration. Should I bring sandwiches?

  • As a gardening vegetarian (amongst other things!) for most of my life, with an interest in organics and sustainability (in all senses of the word) I must say I found your post ABSOLUTELY RIVETING.

    I often feel I'm on my own when I'm hammered to my chair at dinner parties and questioned about my vegetarianism and green beliefs, and 'quirky' everyday composting and recycling. Though I know I could always be doing more, the amount of apathy, and even derision I feel from my peers and friends on these issues astounds me.

    So I applaud your stand and say keep shouting.

    I'm sure you're familiar with Guy Watson of Riverford, whose newsletter arrives in our veg box each week, but if you're not, have a look at a few of his rants/stats/thoughts, I think you'll find them interesting.

    http://bit.ly/8Gbpo8
    http://bit.ly/cUAjUG
    and here' a link to the whole archive on the riverford webpage
    http://bit.ly/crWDQF

    God love the tinterweb x

  • Wonderful. I feel quite proud that I have goaded you into this! And I am relieved that you think lawns have a part to play and that I wasnt trivialising the issue TOO much. As you say, the problem is huge, but to get gardeners engaging with these ideas plays more than just a symbolic role, I reckon. There are a lot of us out there, and a lot of lawns covering a lot of land.

  • Fantastic post and its nice to know that the things I have suspected for some time can be scientifically proven. I have railed against offsetting for years and felt like a lone voice. I also have concerns about bio-fuel and palm oil as to my uneducated mind surely it cant be better for the environment to chop down rain forest to plant palms?

    I am also feeling alot better about my lawn. Lawn is a grand term for a collect of moss, clover and other such plants with a sprinkling of grass. I dont use any chemicals and I cut it when it looks messy. In return I get a wonderful colourful and springy area which is visited by all sorts of insects which in turn encourage the birds.

  • Nice work Mark.

    It's does seem that there is a lots of overly complicated flannel applied to the whole issue.

    I think you've put forward a sound argument against the whole corporate offsetting scam. As ever the answers are a lot more simple and immediate for people to achieve.

    Growing your own is one of the best things I ever started doing, so what ever level you can do it too, it so worth doing it. If you haven' got bags of space and can't get an allotment, then why not go to your local allotment and offer a hand for an hour or so. Most plot holders would welcome the help, and more often than not will have plenty of spare veg to offer as payment.

    Don't think I've got anything more profound to add then that.

    Simon

  • A thought provoking piece.

    I have long tried to get my head around carbon offsetting, carbon trading and the like. Even from the standpoint of one who is involved (on the periphery) with such matters I still struggle, not with the concept but with its execution. Only by questioning, as you have done, will a lot of what we are persuaded is what we "should" do, going to be revealed as the "emperor's new clothes" it truthfully is.

    I wholeheartedly agree that in the future, water, as it becomes a more scarce, will take on an huge significance & on a scale unthinkable today. Whereas recent world conflict has taken place in front of a backdrop of oil, it doesn't take much of a leap of reasoning to see the justification for war changing from oil to water.

    A final comment (genuinely a comment not a criticism) but the whole concept of a climate change farm is predicated on the fact that the climate must change.
    It may be too late to turn back the clock but if we all do our bit and the climate remains static, then the future of almond groves in Devon may look very bleak.

  • Well, you have all been very kind in your comments and very foolish in your encouragement. Thank you.

    LGF – He's usually described as the 'thinking womans crumpet' isnt he…don't think he need worry about his crown

    JAS – Let's march next week when we're in London anyway – that way we don't have to go to much effort and can always have an extra late if its a bit nippy

    A-MP – Thank you, and yes Guy W's rants are brilliant. I also like the fact that he seems a bit of a miserable bugger half of the time (And the other half he seems pissed off). Thanks for the links

    LL – Im expecting you to get on your high horse and post when I write something about some obscure south american tuber next week

    PG – Palm oil, nasty business – your lawn obviosuly not so. Lets have a picnic on it in the summer. All round to PGs everyone

    MS – Whene ver I see yr virtual identity I read it as Mrs Edders. I may not be too bright. Wise words

    Mel – You're a geek, and you should start yr blog up again

    SS – Thanks for your ponderings. There's no turning back the clock – the cycles that deliver us climate change are mainly driven by the oceans – I'm simplifying it but essentially they take a fair amount of time to disperse the rising temperatures, so there's a lag of around 35 years. So whatever we are experiencing now was down to what our parents did in the mid 70s (shit, is that really 35 years ago?). What we do now will be 'enjoyed' by our kids. It's a train that hass left the station, we are committed to some change whatever we do. Our job is to arrest it before we get to a point where it starts to feed itself. I'll post about this rather scary phenomenon soon (told you not to encourage me)

    Thanks for all your comments, M

  • Fascinating and terrifying stuff. I have never been comfortable with offsetting, just too easy and too cosy and deeply fudgeable (is that a word?) I grow lots of my own food and have to not think too much about what a tiny pissing in the wind gesture that is or I would get too depressed to lift my spade. Anyway I like doing it and like eating it so am probably not driven by eco arguments so much as by selfishness.

  • Riveting and disturbing. Can't wait to question canvassers that come knocking on my door about some of these issues this coming May…and feel slightly better about the food miles we clock up by driving to and from our allotment…but not much. Keep shouting.

  • When one sees the vast expanses of manicured lawn in much of the residential areas in North American cities, it seems like rather a large problem. The amount of space dedicated to various lawn fertilisers, pesticides and herbicides in every garden centre testifies to this.

  • Great piece mark! Nice to give myself time to read and then feel like I must get out in that garden more and start planning with more vigour for spring.
    ps. have you ever heard of a game called Vigoro? Its a mix of cricket and baseball apparently.
    pps Found another darts fan in my cricket team-just back from Bournmouth!

    jk

  • Hi Mark,

    I stumbled on your blog from the River Cottage newsletter, and am pleased that I did – very interesting stuff, intelligent debate, and I like your novel approach to the reality of climate change.

    The CC farm idea is also quite brave in a way – I work in sustainability, and we constantly look to show how it is an opportunity, how the sustainable world of the future will be better and something that people want to work to make happen, rather than the apocalyptic caves and hair-shirt visions of the past which have been useful in getting people talking, but rubbish at getting people moving (lets face it, if the future really is going to be as grim as it has been portrayed in the past, then no wonder most people want to crawl under the covers, crank up the heat, sip bottled water imported from the other side of the world, and snack on tasty out-of-season exotic delicacies whilst they still can). So, Otter Farm showing the positive side of CC is great.

    But it can be a bit of a balancing act can't it? I do some futures work from time to time, and in writing scenarios there is always a bit of a tension in pushing the positives of CC itself too hard rather than the actions / activities which stem from it. So, for example, it might be difficult to talk in length about the UKs burgeoning export economy in fine wines thanks to the wonderful new climate that we have since the message that sent could be . . . . . counter-productive. Otter Farm is clearly different in that it shows the opportunities here and now, and how we can more creatively work with what we have, but I would be interested to hear whether you see, or feel, any of this potential for mis-interpretation?

    And as for offsetting, well, that is a really thorny subject. Personally, I think that it has its place as a short-term transitional activity as part of a wider carbon reduction programme – if, for example, it takes a few years to change processes/machinery/etc. to either avoid the need for energy / carbon emissions in the first place or to instigate energy efficiency activities, or to replace carbon fuel sources with renewable, then using offsetting to neutralise emissions until that happens strikes me as a good thing.

    I do think its important though to distinguish between good offsets and bad, and not to tar all offsets with the same brush. Its impossible to legitimately offset in the UK at all at the moment (as I'm sure you know) given the rules about additionality and double counting – which addresses some of your concerns about looking at the whole picture and the total land-use question. But investing in a community-led scheme in an emerging economy which gives sufficient value back to standing trees such that they can compete with the chopped and sawn alternative, and which also brings additional co-benefits to the area in water management, soil protection, secondary products, biodiversity, etc. should be encouraged shouldn't it? And if offsets is currently the only way of doing that, then I'm in favour.

    Anyway, enough, I'm sorry – it turned into a bit of an offset rant of my own – just goes to show how emotive and convoluted the whole debate can be.

    I look forward to reading more from you . . . .

    Cheers

    James

  • Just as an aside, here's a semi-related interesting article similar to another New Scientist article I read recently:
    http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn12058-nitrogen-pollution-drives-trees-to-soak-up-more-cosub2sub.html

    To be honest, half the time I don't know if what I'm doing is "right" or "wrong". I just try and keep it simple by growing my own as organically as possible (food miles etc), keeping in tune with nature and encouraging wildlife into "my" space. Beyond that, my brain tends to struggle somewhat.

  • Lucy – just got around to reading the link you posted – thank you – fascinating…a little scary that we can so accidentally do a little 'good' as well as a lot of 'bad'. Thanks, and do comment again, much appreciated

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